Rosie Millard
Download 'Too Hot', an exclusive Specials track from iTunes
Our lovely neighbours came round for supper last week. We were all newcomers to our Islington square at the same time four years ago, and both houses were nigh-on identical wrecks when we bought them for similar bargain prices. After which, both households spent the following year throwing money at the Polish workmen who rebuilt them.
And so, when the conversation headed down the credit-crunch route (as it tends to do) and our neighbours told us they had been negotiating a remortgage, it was naturally of vital interest. Yes, it was tough, they said. Yes, it was costly. Yes, the administration fee made them choke. We made sympathetic noises and, in a scene being played out in stripped-wooden-floor kitchens across the nation, passed the red wine. Then came the crucial question.
“How much was your house valued at for the remortgage?” I asked, casually. Because their house is the same as ours, what is theirs will be ours, price-wise. And British homeowners simply love to know how much their home is worth. We cling on to that information rather as Gollum does with his Precious. We are still clinging right now, but are worried it might be a bit less precious these days.
We knew how much our house was worth 18 months ago, because that was when we put it on the market for about three months. A nice man from Foxtons suggested we try to sell it for a figure we shall call Y. In the end, it didn’t sell, but he assured us that was what it was worth. So what, I hardly dared (but still did) ask, is its current value?
My neighbour took a deep breath, and told me the figure given by her surveyor. Let’s call it X. Was X a great deal less than Y? Dear reader, it certainly was. Silence descended on the table. We all drank some more red wine. The only way I can sum up the sentiment is that it is like believing you weigh 9st, and then finding out you are actually pushing 10.
Life wasn’t meant to be like this, you see. Back in the distant days of the previous property slump, we all began to buy properties and mortgaged them up as far as we could. That was the way to start, we learnt. Quite right. Shortly after this, the value of our houses rose and rose, until they had gone up so much that our mortgages seemed tiny by comparison. Even if we hadn’t paid off a penny of the capital.
Now, however, we have stepped backwards through the looking glass. Not only has servicing our mortgages become more expensive than ever, but the value of our houses has begun to slide, in some cases until it is little more than that of the mortgages, which have been growing at a prodigious rate as we have helped ourselves to a slice of the equity to finance new cars, holidays, school fees or deposits on buy-to-let flats. Now the City has folded up and died, negative equity might be on the way. Goodbye, red wine. Hello, Pot Noodle.
To still my beating heart, I turn to an expert. David McGibbon, director of residential sales at the Islington branch of Chesterton, is the lucky chap I ask to give me a valuation over the telephone.
“Which side of the square do you live on?” he demands, sounding rather like Lady Bracknell. I tell him. “Well,” he responds, “I would say X is a low valuation. Frankly, we sold a house just up the road from you for Z [an impossibly high figure] at the beginning of February, within 10 days.” Phew.
“You journalists always want to talk down the market,” says Fraser Turvey, head of sales at Foxtons and the man responsible for the valuation 18 months ago. “What would I value your house at now? Why, around Y [the same as before]. We sold a house nearby last week for a lot, and it was run-down and boring. And mortgage surveyors are notoriously downbeat.” Yeah, well, Geri Halliwell would doubtless come over as downbeat compared to a Foxtons estate agent. So nothing has slipped?
“Since the height of the market, when we were getting offers over the asking price, there has been a readjustment,” Turvey replies smoothly, “but there is more competition among sellers and more competition on the market.”
It’s pathetic. I’m pathetic. Valuations are hardly scientific calculations. The only way of testing the market is to sell your house. Why the need to know? Is it because we are so godless and heartless that the only stable things we believe in are celebrity and house prices?
It might be. “It’s over. It’s all over,” said a friend of mine at the theatre the other night. (As it happens, we were drinking white wine, that evening.) “The banks have done it, and we’ll be picking up the pieces with our mortgages and a housing crash, while they go off with their severance packages.”
He laughed in a hollow way and polished off the wine. “We are going to have to get used to a brave new world. Negative equity, I salute you.” Well, at least we’ll go down with vigour, if go down we must.
Lenders continue to use tight criteria to decide who will — and will not — qualify for a home loan, so follow these tips
A golden oldie standing in the shadow of an 11th-century castle awaits discovery in Lewes, East Sussex,
The designer recalls his teenage years in a village near Milan, where he learnt the ropes of the family traditions
Eco furnishings now have syle as well as substance, thanks to a new breed of designers who recycle materials
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more




|
|
|
|
|
|
Essential reading whether you're buying, selling, improving or moving
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£24,250 - £30,346
MI5
London
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
(Happy wine-swilling bagholders? Maybe that's what we need in a downturn.)
She's a great object lesson in fashionable complacency.
I hope she keeps the commentary going along the whole painful path to backruptcy,
or waking up and selling out. Let's see which comes first
DrBubb OfGEI, London and Hong Kong, UK / China
Aw bless. Rosie's finally realised that the 'easy money, get rich quick' scheme she joined has collapsed like.. well, like *every* other get-rich-quick scheme there ever was.
Lets have the crash, get it over with, stop trying to draw it out so much. Regulate the credit markets, hedge funds and banks properly this time and perhaps we can get on with living instead of worrying about how much we're not "earning" on our property empires.
AndyB, Swindon,
the party is well and truly over and all the guests have no clothes on....
geoff, chester, uk
Rosie forget property the smart money has moved on; try fine wines for instance if you have any cash available. On second thoughts I think you are wiser drinking it!!!.
john, milton keynes,
Does this mean that after years of columnists like Ms Millard bragging about the purely notional 'worth' of their overinflated properties, we can now look forward to years of them whinging about how 'poor' they are?
Until the next hyperinflationary bubble comes along, that is.
Riley Elf, London,
Only the economically talentless cling to the valuations of their property.
Tom, London,
Be refreshing if Ms Millard could bring herself to admit she has little understanding of economics and less of the housing market. Where did she think the money was going to come from to keep the property market inflated to such absurd levels?
Did she ever stop and wonder how young people would ever be able to afford to live in the house she lives in now?
If you're 18 now - with no money - and you hope, one day, to live in a house in London that is 'worth' 600k, you will need a mortgage of 600k - less whatever deposit you put in to your first purchase.
I wonder where she thought the money would come from to sustain the market? EVERYONE in London earning 150k?
Hilary, Southall,
The next time the conversation turns to house prices, why not try drinking a sparkling wine. See if you can spot the biggest bubble.
Anthony, London, UK
Hard times ahead in Islington, yah? The burgundy and foie gras must be costing a lot more this year.
Paul, Coventry,
I m laughing. i actually made a tidy sum in property, and cashed out in mid 2007, after seeing what was happening in the USA, Spain, and Ireland. Yes I actually crystalised those profits, rather than boasting about my "paper" wealth at dinner parties.
The signs were clearly there - far too many participants in the property market; when everyone is IN, you should be OUT.
London has been the worst, you have to question how sustainable prices are, when even surgeons cannot afford to buy. 50% nominal falls? I m not holding my breath, but entirely possible. The leveraged risks of being in cashflow negative property in this climate is far too high.
No trend lasts forever, with a decade of supersonic houseprice growth. History will ALWAYS put something in the way to break it. Remember that.
Chris Bradshaw, London,
Still i bet it was nice wine?
Andrew H, Melton Mowbray, Leicestershire