Peter Conradi
Grab an Italian masterpiece for less
It has been a bumper year for the select band of estate agents who work the gilded streets of Mayfair and Belgravia. During the past few months, the few square miles of the capital that are home to more billionaires than anywhere else on the planet have seen records broken – and broken again.
A terraced house on Cadogan Square, on the market for £25m, sold for a record £28m; a former office building on Upper Brook Street attracted 74 viewings and 10 offers, eventually going for 20% more than its £15m guide price. Nor is it only what is known in agent-speak as prime central London that is booming. In Elephant and Castle – not one of the capital’s more salubrious areas – Savills last week sold a three-bed penthouse for an astonishing £2m.
Thirty miles to the south, in Reigate, at the heart of the Surrey commuter belt, Clare King, 38, an events director, has a different take on what’s going on. Her two-bed flat has been on the market since January, but, while she has been assured that the £269,950 price tag is reasonable, she has had only a handful of viewings. “We keep reading that prices are going up, but obviously they’re not,” she says.
Shift the scene to the Midlands and things are looking even slower, with average prices falling. It is the same in parts of the northwest. Keep going north, though, and the pulse starts to quicken again: prices in Scotland are rising at an annual rate of 11.9%, and look likely to continue to do so.
The market in Northern Ireland has been even more buoyant, with prices in the province rising by an average of 46% in the past year, according to a study by the University of Ulster; the rise in East Antrim was a staggering 56%.
So, given all these contradictory signals, what is actually going on? Is one of the most prolonged housing booms in recent history – which has seen property prices in England and Wales almost triple in the past decade – merely pausing for breath, or is it really over? And, if it is the end, will it be a soft landing, or are we headed for a crash?
“It all depends on which part of the property market you are talking about: it’s London and its hinterland against the rest of the country,” says Yolande Barnes, head of residential research at Savills. Within the capital – which has effectively turned into a city-state – the market has been decoupled from incomes and is being driven by equity, she argues. The effects of City bonuses, coupled with the seemingly bottomless pockets of Russian oligarchs and other international high rollers, are trickling down from the multimillion-pound mansions of Kensington and Belgravia to humbler parts of town, from Chiswick to Stoke Newington – and, now, Elephant and Castle.
Step away from the warm glow of the capital, however, and you enter a very different place, one where the recent interest-rate rises – four since last August, with the prospect of more to come – have combined with growing problems of affordability to slow the market and, in some cases, drive it into reverse.
But it is a tale of more than just two nations: an investigation by The Sunday Times has revealed very different pictures across the 10 regions of England and Wales, and in Scotland and Northern Ireland.
Find out what's happening to the property market where you live by clicking on the links below:
(Unless stated, prices are from the Land Registry)
London: Average property price: £333,785. Annual increase: 15.6%
The South East: Average property price: £221,173. Annual increase: 9.6%
The East: Average property price: £188,077. Annual increase: 8.6%
The Southwest: Average property price: £190,710. Annual increase: 8.4%
The West Midlands: Average property price: £152,258. Annual change: 6.3%
The East Midlands: Average property price: £144,378. Annual increase: 6%
Wales: Average property price: £140,808. Annual rise: 8.2%
The North West: Average property price: £135,062. Annual change: 9.1%
Yorkshire and the Humber: Average property price: £142,591. Annual change: 7.2%
The Northeast: Average property price: £128,687. Annual increase: 6.4%
Northern Ireland: Average property price: £256,500. Annual increase: 46% (University of Ulster)
Scotland: Average property price: £138,655 (Bank of Scotland). Annual increase: 22.4% (Knight Frank)
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more




|
|
|
|
|
|
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
1998
£47,955
12 months for the price of 11 and a 5% discount.
Offer ends 31/11/09
Check your free Experian credit report before applying
Car Insurance
to £60K + bonus (OTE £90k)
Lord Search & Selection
Location Flexible
PwC’s Consulting practice helps businesses of all shapes
and sizes work smarter and grow faster.
£85k
CPA
Highly Competitve
Specsavers
Whiteley, near Southampton
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth
Find out about shared ownership.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Book now & save over £100pp.
11 cool resorts, lowest prices... Early Booking offers 15 Nov.
20% off selected Azores holidays taken in October with Sunvil Discovery
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
World Class Golf, Spa and preferential Beach Club. Private estate overlooking West Coast
Villas from £275 per night inclusive of Golf
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.