Alice Miles
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What are they doing over there? Gordon is in the United States and Alistair is in China: because this is global, isn't it? It's not our fault, they imply; not us, the British Government. We're trying to grapple with worldwide financial problems here.
Except the problem is not global. It's British. House prices in Britain, at six times average earnings, are too high. That's it. We all know that, we've known it for years. Property prices are nonsensical, exorbitant, unaffordable, immorally inflated by investors and a shortage of available land space to build new homes, exploited by a greedy City.
All those buying a property have known this for the past five years at least, and it has then become in their interest to hope that the boom continues. To that extent, property owners have been complicit in the financial recklessness of the past few years: easy credit built on pyramid selling. Buying houses has been a gamble, a cross-your-fingers-and- hope-for-the-best, those-mortgages- are-pretty-generous bet that many of us have indulged in.
Nothing could be more immoral, then, in the current climate, than using government efforts and taxpayers' money to encourage first-time buyers to enter the housing market in order to stabilise the dodgy situation that banks and incautious borrowers have got themselves into through overlending and overstretching themselves: row, row harder, keep us all afloat! Yet that appears to be what the Government's strategy is.
“Here's a nice deal for you, love”: Gordon Brown has turned into Del Boy, and I suppose that would make Alistair Darling his Rodney. They are trying to tempt the banks into continuing to offer cheap mortgage deals on properties that are simply not worth the astonishingly high amounts they have been flogged at in recent years. And trying to encourage you to sign up for them. The IMF says property prices are 27 per cent too high. Why would anyone with the interests of a first-time buyer at heart encourage him, or anybody else for that matter, to purchase at the top end of the market, with a long-overdue correction imminent? They will tumble into negative equity before they've finished clearing up the Valpolicella stains from the housewarming party.
It isn't as if, to most of the rest of us, a fall in house prices is such a big deal anyway. To most of us, for whom a house is a home, not part of an investment portfolio, tumbling values make sense. To most of us, the loss of 4,000 estate agents isn't much to worry about. Nor is the loss of tens of thousands of City boys.
To most of us, the housing bubble has been an alarming, nonsensical boom that we have scrabbled to keep up with for fear of being left behind, not out of greed but because we wanted a home to live in, one that we owned.
For most of us, a sharp correction will come as a blessed relief. House prices might make some sort of sense again; investors from the City and overseas will leave us alone and stop buying up the places we need to live in. A decent house in the country might become affordable once more for a local person, not just for someone from far away, paying cash.
Most of us didn't take out crazily silly mortgages (just, in my case anyway, quite silly). We were reasonably careful, we noted that prices were due to fall, we don't expect to be bailed out when they do, and we don't expect the bigger gamblers to be bailed out either. At what point did the Prime Minister dump prudence and so enthusiastically cop off with charity? Our charity, that is. You don't need to be an economist to understand that swapping debts for government bonds means the taxpayer is ultimately taking on the risk that should stay with the banks.
How dare a man who has lectured us all ad nauseam about prudence, year after year after year, now use our money to bail out the profligate? Times are tough, yes, but for most people they are tough in the day-to-day expenditure; in the purse, not the property portfolio. The pinch, for ordinary people, comes not from little falls in the nominal value of people's homes, but from day-to-day living costs: the food, the petrol, the gas and the council tax bills. It is in this context that the scrapping of the 10p rate has been so poisonous, a mean little kick at a time when people are already feeling hamstrung in their everyday spending. Globetrotting ministers wagging their fingers at the international gods of high finance are not going to fix that.
For most of us, the mortgage hasn't suddenly become wildly more expensive (coming to the end of a fixed-rate deal? Tough. What part of Two-Year Fixed Rate didn't you understand?). The house might be worth a bit less than yesterday, but so what? So is everybody else's. So is the bigger house you might want to buy one day. The majority of householders know they are still going to end up profiting from the boom of the past decade.
I said that many of us were complicit in that boom. Most complicit of all was the Chancellor at the time. Can it only be my memory that fails to recall any note of public caution from Mr Brown at the Treasury as the City high jinks fuelled his public spending splurge? As the housing market and the cheap mortgages and the loans on loans on loans floated Britain through the past few years, and Mr Brown into No 10?
Now he wobbles along on an empty bubble. It's a hellish tricky thing to steer. And not even Del Boy could sell the air in a bubble.

Alice Miles has been with The Times since 1999. She began as a Parliamentary Sketch writer before becoming a columnist, writing mainly on politics and national issues such as education and health. She won Columnist of the Year in 2007.
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It appears to me that the media, including you Mr Times, are encouraging First Time Buyers to rent as opposed to purchasing property. Let me make it quite plain if you rent at the average rental cost over 25 years, you will be throwing away almost £200 000.
Richard Abbiss, Birmingham, West Midlands
Ive already emigrated - after the 1990's property crash - lost it all - best thing that happened to me - came to Australia and live the life of a lord at a fraction of the cost, I'm off for a dip in the pool as its nice and warm
Robin, Brisbane, Australia
No, Mike from Worcester . Its NOT the construction costs OR building control, OR immigrants that caused the house price bubble . The price spike is nearly purely SPECULATIVE. Ie due to morons persuading each other that the above were making their properties 'worth' that much more.
alex, London, UK
One thing I disagree with is that all properties are dropping at the same rate. Not true.
Property, like shares, shows a flight to quality in tough times.
Heres a couple of hints to any first time buyer tempted by a cheap loan over the next few months:
Buy the prettiest house in the nicest location you can afford because you'll be able to sell it if you have to.
Don't buy anything with a serious compromise just because its bigger - that abbatoir may still be next door when you try to sell on
Buy something you can live in for 10 years. You may be there that long.
Forgo expensive holidays to pay off your mortgage if you can
Buy your furniture off eBay
Buy something you are allowed to rent out
Be nice to your parents so you can move back in if you need to
Cut up your credit cards
Dont save any more money than you can put in an ISA - pay more off your mortgage early instead
Pete, London,
Great article, great comments. Just another little niggle however. Many many people are employed by the pyramid scheme. Not just estates agents and Channel 4 presenters. The construction sector employs large numbers of people. Retailing all those fake fireplaces and spare room sofabeds, supplying and installing all that decking, insuring houses, selling cars or world cruises that add just a few quid to the mortgage. etc, etc adds up to millions more.
During the tax and spend boom - and how much of the tax was from stamp duty or inheritance taxes? - the public sector has burgeoned. And all the while the manufacturing sector has shrunk, and the factories have been knocked down to make way for retail parks and houses.
Where are we going to employ all those people who will be paid off when the music stops? We have masked the loss of what industry survived the restructuring of Mrs T. Where are the jobs?
David B, Larkhall, UK
Alternative explanation is: Let's make our little brother believe that the mortagage on his old terraced bought 2 years ago is noth worth repaying. Let's the prices plummet. Let us sell this very same terraced back to his son at another summit of the market. (The ide dawned upon me in early 2005, while I was searching ownership and price records for properties in poorer districts of Manchester)
Suav
Suav, Ipswich, Suffolk
Amazing how popular an article is when it says what people want to see. Fact is that a large percentage of BTLers like myself have no mortgage, so if property prices crash as you would like, we can buy more of them and meanwhile we are enjoying bumper rental income as more people prefer to rent than buy, i wont be cancelling the order on my the new car quite yet..
DJC, Ribble Valley,
Well written Alice. I long for some sanity in the housing market.
I had to sell my house when it became apparent that my youngest child had a serious medical condition and I wouldn't be able to work full-time and keep up the mortgage payments. I've been at the mercy of BTL landlords ever since. While I don't doubt there might be some decent landlords out there I've yet to come across one. Most are in it to make a quick buck with little regard to the people who look after their investments and pay their mortgages. Example: my little family will have to move within the next month, our second move in a year, our fourth move in three years. The rise of the amateur btl landlord has been disasterous for this country whether one is a ftb or a tenant.
Maria, Brighton,
How is it this government's fault that people were so stupid they didn't realise credit cards need to be repaid?
Luke, London, UK
Fantastically clear article and as far as I'm concerned a perfect description of the real economy!
But... although most people seem to agree with the statements made in the article, the (elected) government is stubbornly sticking to the opposite. With disastrous consequences. Democracy? Don't make me laugh.
Erwin, London,
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