James Rossiter
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About 100,000 poeple who bought homes last year with little or no deposit are likely to find themselves in negative equity as soon as September.
Mortgage brokers said that borrowers who bought last year with deposits of 5 per cent or less could soon owe more than their property is worth, after figures from Nationwide indicated house prices were set to fall by 5.8 per cent by the end of the year.
If the property market continues to fall at those rates, house prices will hit the 5 per cent mark in September, Capital Economics said. An estimated 10 per cent of mortgages sold through the biggest brokers in 2007 were for loans worth more than 95 per cent, according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders.
First-time buyers are most at risk, being more likely to have taken out such deals, but homeowners who have added debt from credit cards and personal loans to their mortgages are also in danger. Price falls, combined with unwillingness among mortgage lenders to offer deals for more than 95 per cent, could force people to sell at a loss and pay off their debt or face extortionate mortgage costs when their terms end. Jonathan Cornell, of Hamptons International Mortgages, said: “Those who have bought at high loan-to-values and those who have added fees or credit cards to their mortgages are in danger of falling into negative equity.”
Several lenders have this week withdrawn mortgage deals; others raised interest rates, leaving homeowners who are trying to remortgage facing delays and higher repayments. Brokers put Halifax on “withdrawal watch”, after the bank said it had been inundated with applications. First Direct withdrew from the market because it could not cope with demand for its best-buy two-year fixed-rate deal. Lehman Brothers said that its British mortgage business had stopped accepting new customers. Cooperative Bank today withdraws its two-year fixed-rate deal.
Banks have been struggling to obtain funding for mortgages since last summer’s credit crunch. Mike Ellis, a director at HBOS, parent company of Halifax and Bank of Scotland, told a conference that the funding crisis would be a problem for the rest of the year.
One in five buy-to-let investors intends to sell properties over the coming year - a 31 per cent increase in the proportion expecting to do so three months ago, according to the Association of Residental Letting Agents.
Best buys
2-year fixed rates
Loughborough BS - Rate 5.40%; Fee £999
West Bromwich BS - Rate 5.49%; Fee £499
Stroud & Swindon BS - Rate 5.69%; Fee £99
2-year variable rates
HSBC - Rate 5.19%; Fee £999
Cooperative Bank - Rate 5.49%; Fee £999
Cumberland BS - Rate 5.66%; Fee £599
3-year fixed rates
Skipton BS - Rate 5.49%; Fee £599
Yorkshire BS - Rate 5.49%; Fee £995
Derbyshire BS - Rate 5.59%; Fee £0
3-year variable rates
Chorley & District BS - Rate 5.75%; Fee £0
Cheshire BS - Rate 5.99%; Fee £0
Cumberland BS - Rate 6.00%; Fee £0
Source: Moneyfacts.co.uk 2.4.08
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Dan from Cobham, furious?? you should be delighted. As house prices fall, your enlarged family will be able to afford a larger house. Keep saving, rates are going up so your deposit will get bigger! Win win. alternatively buy now and keep fighting to keep up with repayments and stop from going into negative equity.
Graham, Moscow, russia
The last time the market crashed, 1988 - 1992, many of those with negative equity had got in that situation because they had increased the level of their mortgage in line with the increased nominal 'value' of the house. So they used the mortgage as a low interest loan to spend on a car, holiday, house extension etc. I recall my manager and I at work having a conversation on this subject over 10 years ago. He mooted the 'people believed house prices would always go up' line to me.
Sadly, exactly the same has happened this time, but because prices have risen much higher, the level of equity withdrawn is that much greater. Either these people are too young to remember the last crash or just too stupid to realise that prices could not carry on rising for ever. Whilst those who end up in negative equity because they felt they had no alternative but to buy in a rapidly rising market deserve sympathy, those who have deliberately brought it on themselves do not.
Paul, Coventry,
We're absolutely furious about the situation we're in. Not only are we finding it difficult to find a mortgage we can afford (still looking after two weeks), we're now being punished for one of us being on maternity leave. Lenders have said they'll only lend to us if we promise to go back to work within 90 days of the mortgage being approved (!).
After years of saving up and working hard, you try to start a family like normal people do - and you get punished. And don't get me started on childcare provisions in this country. £1000 a month!? Get real people. When will someone DO something about this shambles?!
Dan, Cobham, UK
These best rates only give a partial picture. They are for people with lots of equity (at least 10%) and low income multiples.
Those who bought since mid-2005 are in trouble, including those who have built up equity but bought at very high income multiples. Their wages have not risen and those high multiples will now mean very high interest rates from now.
There are 1m BTL mortgages backing 2m properties. Half those were bought in the last 2 years i.e. when prices became so high the investment only made sense at 4.5% rates at best, and relied on capital appreciation.
Rents rises will not match the 25% jump in interest (4.5 to 6%) and no capital appreciationâ¦. there are 1mn vulnerable BTL properties. Even the large-scale landlords would be silly to buy in a falling market, even if they can cross-subsidise from older purchases.
All while immigrants are going home, unemployment is about to rise, there is no money for fiscal stimulus and inflation will stop large BoE cuts.
Raj, London,