Lucy Alexander
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Northern Ireland, once a battle-scarred backwater, is being transformed into a desirable destination and investment hotspot almost overnight. Research from Halifax shows that the Province is now the most expensive part of the UK outside London and the South East.
The average house in Ulster now costs £228,790, an increase of 46.7 per cent in one year. Only London, at £313,122, and the South East region of England, at £259,904, have higher average house prices. The national average is £196,525.
The revolution in Northern Ireland’s fortunes has been dramatically swift. Despite double-figure increases in house prices every year since 2003, in early 2005 Northern Ireland was still the cheapest part of the UK, except for Scotland.
On March 26, Gerry Adams and Ian Paisley set a course for change when they met, cracked jokes and agreed to work together to set up a power-sharing administration. Since then, in the second quarter of 2007 alone, prices in the Province have risen by 8.5 per cent – almost twice the London increase in the same period. Many regions, including the South West, Wales and the Midlands, experienced falls of up to 2.8 per cent in their average house price.
Historically, the change is even more stark. A decade ago, the average house in Northern Ireland cost a mere £31,255, well below the UK average of £46,315.
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In the south there are 250,000 odd houses empty, people who bought them have no1 to rent them out and are getting further and further into debt, and soon enough the same will happen here. It is the fault of estate agents looking more commission, contractors who want more profit, banks etc. who make more interest and the government with tax and stamp duty, these are the ones who are driving the investors into huge debt. So when they realise they cannot afford their properties they will try and sell them, and once they start it will be like a snowball as they all think they need sell it before everyone else does. it is very vulnerable at the moment and poised to do excatly what it did 16 years ago. Already 79000 people last year had to give up their homes as they couldnt afford payments, yet we arent told about this in the headlines??Why do you think that is?. Its ready to explode and I cant wait, should be fun to watch
Niall, Belfast,
Grotesque... that is the only word to describe the property market in this country
Michele, Richmond,
Ian,
please... not again with this demand. Demand has nothing to do with it, please check if the rents have gone up in your area. It is a b_u_b_b_l_e
Michele, Richmond,
It has nothing to do with the supposed peace dividend, it had to do with the planning system collapsing and house supply not keeping up with demand. Why is everything attributed to a peace dividend?
Ian, Belfast,
Bit late, Times - the boom is ending already
neil, portadown, armagh
Much has been made of the peace dividend influence on local house prices and ROI investors buying in recent years. Northern Ireland is a low pay economy with wages up to 20% below the national average and with house prices now more than ten times average NI earnings, the relentless rise is not only unsustainable but is beginning to resemble a type of grotesque pyramid scheme. With first time buyers priced out of the market we have a problem - Will the bubble burst or slowly deflate? Its anybodys guess.
Ron, Coleraine,
Funny to see how there is always an explanation to house prices... but not the simplest one: mispricing!
High levels of immigration, divorce rates, student population are claimed to be root cause of high prices in London (... not foolishness of the buyers maybe??) BUT IN ULSTER... please be realistic its a bubble!!! nothing to do with the French Revolution!
Michele, Richmond,
All this property growth and soaring prices are great if you own your own house. If you are a young person/first time buyer trying to get your foot on the ladder you have zero chance. The "cheapest" propertys are all snapped up by investors and property developers looking to make more money. I hope the bubble bursts and they loose millions. :-)
Patrick, Newry,
This an interesting development. In UK terms there is no reason why NI property prices should be so high. Wages are still a bit lower than SE of England etc. The reason seems to be linked to attitudes to property ownership. In the Republic property prices have been very high relative to British ones since the 70's. This has largely been because of demand, partly a young population but also very high rates of home ownership. The reason why so few Irish historically want to rent is probably connected to land reform agitation in the late 19th century and the strugle Irish rural dwellers fought to get the right to buy the land they farmed from aristocratic land lords. In effect this produced a society in which the bulk of the population was land owning, a sort of universal peasant middle class. This has fed through to the modern housing market. It is interesting however that in this important social indicator Northern Ireland seems much more to mirror developments in the south than the UK.
James McSparron, Co. Antrim, Northern Ireland
What to Chelsea and Belfast not have in common? Firstly Belfast does not have the same high earnings but basks in higher debt levels and an inept planning structure which helps drive the high cost of housing.
simon thompson, saintfield, down
What to Chelsea and Belfast not have in common? Firstly Belfast does not have the same high earnings but basks in higher debt levels and an inpet planning structure which helps drive the high cost of housing.
simon thompson, saintfield, down