Leo Lewis, Asia Business Correspondent
Get 20% off your bill at Pizza Express
Asian commodity and currency markets could be plunged into chaos after the Malaysian Government threatened to abandon standard trading channels in favour of a barter deal.
With Malaysia struggling to shelter its people from the steep rise in the cost of rice and desperate to expand its painfully diminished “buffer” stockpile, its Minister for Plantation Industries and Commodities said that his country would swap palm oil for rice with any rice-producing nation willing to make the trade.
The highly unusual offer marks a significant vote of no-confidence in commodity markets by a country that owes more than a quarter of its GDP to crude oil and palm oil exports.
“Thailand is our main supplier of rice, but we are ready to offer palm oil to any exporting country that is ready to give us rice of suitable quality,” Peter Chin said.
Recent volatility in food prices and the emergence of rice as an asset now thought by some to be on a strategic par with crude oil have shaken many countries' faith in the ability of global markets to price food properly.
Several large rice-producers have curbed exports for the sake of domestic calm, and various barter deals are thought to have been struck behind the scenes. None has been as open as Malaysia's offer, which could be imitated.
The swap deal makes some sense because Malaysia is a leading world producer of palm oil and is reliant on imports for about a third of its annual rice consumption. Palm oil prices have soared amid increased demand from China and India.
Commodities experts fear that similar deals would be unsettling to orderly markets if other raw materials, such as rubber or rare metals, even energy, were moved around in a series of large off-market deals with no formal pricing.
Commodity traders in Tokyo said that Malaysia's decision to barter was a clear sign that food as an asset class was in crisis. Kenji Kobayashi, a commodities analyst at Kanetsu Asset Management, said: “What is worrying is that these barter deals, which should only be for truly terrible situations like the Iraq oil-for-food programme, are going to increase in size and number from here. We are now seeing all the hidden mistrust in the markets being expressed through barter.”
Other observers said that the decision to barter also reflected volatile currency markets and the recent decline of the US dollar, from which poorer developing nations have been eager to insulate themselves.
The Malaysian offer emerged as the price of Thai 100 per cent B grade white rice - used as one of the benchmarks for global prices - surged back to its record high of $1,000 per tonne.
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Explore your passion for food with the delights of Thai, Indian & Chinese cooking
Read our exclusive 100 Years of Fleming and Bond interactive timeline, packed with original Times articles and reviews
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
05/2005
£13,500
08/2008
£109,950
2006
£10,750
Great car insurance deals online
£100k
The National Skills Academy for Social Care
London
£49,229 - £62,035 pro rata
Charity Commission
London/Liverpool/Taunton
£75k - £85k
Confidential
London
Six Figure
Rolls Royce
Midlands/Europe
From £89,950
Great Investment, River Views
$3.5 million
Also avaliable for rent
Times Online Property Search will help you find it
Amazing Far East Offers - Visit Hong Kong
from £499pp
Cruise the Islands of Hawaii - Pride of America
List your property with two leading travel websites
Great travel insurance deals online
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths
News International associated websites: Globrix | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2008 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
I agree with Malaysia trying to control its own destiny. After all it has a deep seated suspicion of markets after the bad experience of the run on the ringgit. I also think there is something morally wrong with people making money out of other people starving.
Jim, Exeter, Devon